Oberliga Westfalen round 4

Gievenbeck vs SC Verl II analysis

Gievenbeck SC Verl II
44 ELO 25
-4.2% Tilt -12.1%
6370º General ELO ranking 10803º
234º Country ELO ranking 511º
ELO win probability
68.2%
Gievenbeck
18.7%
Draw
13.1%
SC Verl II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
Gievenbeck
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
SC Verl II
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gievenbeck
+26%
+218%
SC Verl II

Points and table prediction

Gievenbeck
Their league position
SC Verl II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
26
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
VfL Bochum II
33
71
30%
Preußen Münster II
25
68
15%
Siegen Sportfreunde
25
66
8.5%
ASC 09 Dortmund
26
64
12%
Gievenbeck
26
64
12.5%
Schermbeck
25
59
7%
SpVgg Erkenschwick
12º
18
58
9%
Lippstadt 08
10º
20
58
9.5%
Westfalia Rhynern
24
56
12%
Rot Weiss Ahlen
11º
20
55
10º
7.5%
SC Verl II
26
51
11º
13.5%
Wattenscheid 09
14º
18
47
12º
10.5%
Eintracht Rheine
21
46
13º
14%
Ennepetal
13º
18
40
14º
9.5%
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
16º
13
39
15º
16%
SpVgg Vreden
15º
13
38
16º
20.5%
Concordia Wiemelhausen
18º
9
32
17º
21.5%
Victoria Clarholz
17º
12
28
18º
28.5%
TuS Bovinghausen
19º
4
20
19º
62.5%
Expected probabilities
Gievenbeck
SC Verl II
Promotion
23% 1%
Mid-table
77% 99%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gievenbeck
SC Verl II
Siegen Sportfreunde
SpVgg Vreden
Schermbeck
ASC 09 Dortmund
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gievenbeck
Gievenbeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2024
SCH
Schermbeck
1 - 2
Gievenbeck
GIE
23%
25%
52%
43 30 13 0
18 Aug. 2024
GIE
Gievenbeck
5 - 2
Concordia Wiemelhausen
CON
49%
24%
27%
42 37 5 +1
11 Aug. 2024
SVR
SpVgg Vreden
0 - 1
Gievenbeck
GIE
37%
26%
37%
41 37 4 +1
30 Jun. 2024
PRE
Preußen Münster
4 - 0
Gievenbeck
GIE
86%
11%
4%
41 73 32 0
26 May. 2024
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
1 - 3
Gievenbeck
GIE
31%
27%
42%
40 33 7 +1

Matches

SC Verl II
SC Verl II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
SCV
SC Verl II
1 - 2
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
32%
21%
47%
26 35 9 0
18 Aug. 2024
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
5 - 0
SC Verl II
SCV
75%
14%
11%
26 39 13 0
11 Aug. 2024
SCV
SC Verl II
7 - 0
Preußen Münster II
PRE
18%
19%
63%
20 41 21 +6
26 May. 2024
HAM
Hammer SpVg
2 - 3
SC Verl II
SCV
18%
20%
63%
20 11 9 0
20 May. 2024
SCV
SC Verl II
4 - 1
Rödinghausen II
SVR
56%
20%
24%
20 18 2 0