Oberliga Westfalen round 4

Gievenbeck vs SC Verl II analysis

Gievenbeck SC Verl II
44 ELO 25
-4.2% Tilt -12.1%
6446º General ELO ranking 11136º
239º Country ELO ranking 552º
ELO win probability
68.2%
Gievenbeck
18.7%
Draw
13.1%
SC Verl II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
Gievenbeck
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
SC Verl II
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gievenbeck
+5%
+197%
SC Verl II

Points and table prediction

Gievenbeck
Their league position
SC Verl II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
22
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Siegen Sportfreunde
24
68
35%
VfL Bochum II
24
68
19%
Gievenbeck
21
65
14.5%
Preußen Münster II
22
63
13.5%
ASC 09 Dortmund
22
63
10.5%
Westfalia Rhynern
24
60
12.5%
Schermbeck
21
56
9%
SpVgg Erkenschwick
10º
17
55
10%
Rot Weiss Ahlen
11º
17
55
12%
SC Verl II
22
54
10º
10%
Lippstadt 08
13º
14
52
11º
10.5%
Eintracht Rheine
18
45
12º
13.5%
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
15º
13
45
13º
13.5%
Ennepetal
12º
15
41
14º
13%
Concordia Wiemelhausen
18º
9
41
15º
15%
Wattenscheid 09
14º
14
40
16º
11.5%
SpVgg Vreden
17º
9
32
17º
18.5%
Victoria Clarholz
16º
11
30
18º
26%
TuS Bovinghausen
19º
4
23
19º
53.5%
Expected probabilities
Gievenbeck
SC Verl II
Promotion
22.5% 4%
Mid-table
77.5% 96%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gievenbeck
SC Verl II
Siegen Sportfreunde
Wattenscheid 09
Ennepetal
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gievenbeck
Gievenbeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2024
SCH
Schermbeck
1 - 2
Gievenbeck
GIE
23%
25%
52%
43 30 13 0
18 Aug. 2024
GIE
Gievenbeck
5 - 2
Concordia Wiemelhausen
CON
49%
24%
27%
42 37 5 +1
11 Aug. 2024
SVR
SpVgg Vreden
0 - 1
Gievenbeck
GIE
37%
26%
37%
41 37 4 +1
30 Jun. 2024
PRE
Preußen Münster
4 - 0
Gievenbeck
GIE
86%
11%
4%
41 73 32 0
26 May. 2024
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
1 - 3
Gievenbeck
GIE
31%
27%
42%
40 33 7 +1

Matches

SC Verl II
SC Verl II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
SCV
SC Verl II
1 - 2
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
32%
21%
47%
26 35 9 0
18 Aug. 2024
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
5 - 0
SC Verl II
SCV
75%
14%
11%
26 39 13 0
11 Aug. 2024
SCV
SC Verl II
7 - 0
Preußen Münster II
PRE
18%
19%
63%
20 41 21 +6
26 May. 2024
HAM
Hammer SpVg
2 - 3
SC Verl II
SCV
18%
20%
63%
20 11 9 0
20 May. 2024
SCV
SC Verl II
4 - 1
Rödinghausen II
SVR
56%
20%
24%
20 18 2 0