Gievenbeck vs SC Verl II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+164%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
9º
7º
33
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 73 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 72 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 62 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 58 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 57 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 57 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 49 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 47 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 46 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 43 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 35 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 33 |
18º
|
44.5% | |
|
19º
|
7 | 18 |
19º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gievenbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 2
GIE
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GIE
5 - 2
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SVR
0 - 1
GIE
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
PRE
4 - 0
GIE
86%
11%
4%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 3
GIE
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SC Verl II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCV
1 - 2
WER
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ERK
5 - 0
SCV
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCV
7 - 0
PRE
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +7 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 3
SCV
18%
20%
63%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SCV
4 - 1
SVR
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |