Oberliga Westfalen round 4

Gievenbeck vs SC Verl II analysis

Gievenbeck SC Verl II
44 ELO 26
-4.2% Tilt -12.1%
3851º General ELO ranking 4880º
186º Country ELO ranking 240º
ELO win probability
68.2%
Gievenbeck
18.7%
Draw
13.1%
SC Verl II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
Gievenbeck
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
SC Verl II
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gievenbeck
-6%
+167%
SC Verl II

ELO progression

Gievenbeck
SC Verl II
SpVgg Erkenschwick
Concordia Wiemelhausen
Westfalia Rhynern
Schermbeck 2020
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gievenbeck
Gievenbeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2024
SCH
Schermbeck
1 - 2
Gievenbeck
GIE
23%
25%
52%
43 31 12 0
18 Aug. 2024
GIE
Gievenbeck
5 - 2
Concordia Wiemelhausen
CON
49%
24%
27%
42 38 4 +1
11 Aug. 2024
SVR
SpVgg Vreden
0 - 1
Gievenbeck
GIE
37%
26%
37%
42 37 5 0
30 Jun. 2024
PRE
Preußen Münster
4 - 0
Gievenbeck
GIE
86%
11%
4%
42 73 31 0
26 May. 2024
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
1 - 3
Gievenbeck
GIE
31%
27%
42%
41 34 7 +1

Matches

SC Verl II
SC Verl II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
SCV
SC Verl II
1 - 2
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
32%
21%
47%
27 36 9 0
18 Aug. 2024
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
5 - 0
SC Verl II
SCV
75%
14%
11%
27 39 12 0
11 Aug. 2024
SCV
SC Verl II
7 - 0
Preußen Münster II
PRE
18%
19%
63%
20 42 22 +7
26 May. 2024
HAM
Hammer SpVg
2 - 3
SC Verl II
SCV
18%
20%
63%
20 11 9 0
20 May. 2024
SCV
SC Verl II
4 - 1
Rödinghausen II
SVR
56%
20%
24%
20 18 2 0