Gibraltar vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
SMR
1 - 1
GIB
18%
16%
66%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
GIB
21%
18%
61%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
GIB
1 - 0
SMR
64%
17%
19%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GIB
2 - 2
LIE
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
GIB
1 - 0
AND
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AND
0 - 1
MDA
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MLT
1 - 0
MDA
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
MDA
2 - 0
AND
74%
16%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MDA
1 - 0
SMR
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MDA
2 - 0
MLT
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |