Düren vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
BFR
1 - 0
DUR
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
DUR
3 - 2
SPF
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BGP
0 - 1
DUR
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 3
NIE
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SVB
3 - 2
DUR
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SIE
0 - 1
BER
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 7
EUR
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
H05
2 - 1
SIE
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SIE
5 - 2
BFR
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
VIA
1 - 2
SIE
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |