SD Gernika vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
PON
27%
29%
44%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
GER
39%
29%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
CEL
44%
30%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALA
2 - 1
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
ATH
29%
30%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
AMU
3 - 1
CAU
65%
22%
13%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CAU
2 - 1
PON
25%
27%
48%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
MAR
4 - 1
CAU
64%
22%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CAU
0 - 2
AUR
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LUG
1 - 0
CAU
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |