Oberliga Niedersachsen round 1

Germania Egestorf vs Arminia Hannover analysis

Germania Egestorf Arminia Hannover
37 ELO 21
3.7% Tilt 4.1%
5155º General ELO ranking 7279º
171º Country ELO ranking 269º
ELO win probability
75.4%
Germania Egestorf
14.6%
Draw
10%
Arminia Hannover

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
Germania Egestorf
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10%
Win probability
Arminia Hannover
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Germania Egestorf
-42%
+113%
Arminia Hannover

Points and table prediction

Germania Egestorf
Their league position
Arminia Hannover
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
43
10º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spelle-Venhaus
77
77
100%
Lupo-Martini
74
74
100%
Germania Egestorf
65
65
100%
TuS Bersenbrück
60
60
100%
FSV Schöningen
56
59
64%
Heeslinger SC
57
57
64%
VfL Oldenburg
56
56
84%
MTV Eintracht Celle
49
49
100%
Rotenburger SV
45
45
100%
Ramlingen / Ehlershausen
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Arminia Hannover
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Hannoverscher
12º
41
41
12º
100%
TSV Pattensen
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Ahlerstedt
15º
35
35
14º
100%
MTV Gifhorn
14º
35
35
15º
100%
LSK Hansa
16º
31
31
16º
100%
FT Braunschweig
17º
29
29
17º
100%
BW Papenburg
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Germania Egestorf
Arminia Hannover
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Germania Egestorf
Arminia Hannover
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Germania Egestorf
Germania Egestorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jul. 2022
GER
Germania Egestorf
2 - 3
Jeddeloh
JED
30%
24%
46%
36 42 6 0
15 May. 2022
GER
Germania Egestorf
5 - 0
VfL Oldenburg
VFL
52%
22%
26%
35 33 2 +1
11 May. 2022
SVE
Spelle-Venhaus
1 - 4
Germania Egestorf
GER
58%
20%
22%
34 35 1 +1
08 May. 2022
BWL
BW Lohne
5 - 0
Germania Egestorf
GER
50%
22%
28%
35 37 2 -1
01 May. 2022
GER
Germania Egestorf
1 - 1
Heeslinger SC
HEE
56%
22%
22%
36 34 2 -1

Matches

Arminia Hannover
Arminia Hannover
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2022
AHA
Arminia Hannover
3 - 2
Heeslinger SC
HEE
18%
23%
59%
19 34 15 0
11 May. 2022
BWL
BW Lohne
8 - 1
Arminia Hannover
AHA
79%
13%
8%
19 38 19 0
08 May. 2022
BSV
BSV Kickers Emden
2 - 4
Arminia Hannover
AHA
79%
14%
8%
18 35 17 +1
01 May. 2022
AHA
Arminia Hannover
2 - 3
Spelle-Venhaus
SVE
14%
19%
67%
19 35 16 -1
24 Apr. 2022
VFL
VfL Oldenburg
3 - 2
Arminia Hannover
AHA
79%
13%
8%
19 31 12 0