Genoa vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
GEN
2 - 1
JUV
48%
23%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
VIC
0 - 0
GEN
35%
23%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
GEN
0 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
VNZ
0 - 0
GEN
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
GEN
0 - 1
TOR
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
TRI
1 - 2
ACM
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
TRI
1 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
VIC
0 - 1
TRI
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |