Genoa vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LAZ
0 - 1
GEN
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 3
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAT
3 - 2
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAG
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 1
VER
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
FIO
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |