Genoa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 0
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
GEN
2 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
FIO
3 - 1
GEN
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
GEN
3 - 3
LAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
NAP
0 - 2
NOV
68%
18%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 4
NAP
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAD
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
NAP
0 - 2
INT
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
VIC
0 - 0
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |