Genoa vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
SAM
5 - 1
GEN
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 2
GEN
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 1
JUV
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 2
GEN
43%
24%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
GEN
7 - 1
PAD
71%
16%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1948 |
ACM
0 - 2
INT
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
INT
0 - 0
PAL
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
LAZ
2 - 2
INT
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
INT
5 - 0
NOV
73%
16%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
INT
4 - 2
SAM
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |