Genoa vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
NOV
3 - 1
GEN
26%
23%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
GEN
4 - 0
LAZ
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 1
GEN
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
GEN
3 - 0
FIO
77%
14%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
BOL
3 - 2
FIO
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
TOR
2 - 1
BOL
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
TRI
0 - 2
BOL
36%
28%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |