1. Lig round 20

Gençlerbirliği SK vs Kocaelispor analysis

Gençlerbirliği SK Kocaelispor
76 ELO 77
-4.4% Tilt -8.8%
701º General ELO ranking 508º
29º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Gençlerbirliği SK
27.1%
Draw
34.6%
Kocaelispor

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
Gençlerbirliği SK
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.6%
Win probability
Kocaelispor
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Gençlerbirliği SK
Their league position
Kocaelispor
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
17º
10º
41
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fatih Karagümrük
35
72
56%
Kocaelispor
41
69
30.5%
Bandirmaspor
34
63
20.5%
Ankaragücü
30
62
17%
Corum FK
32
60
14%
Pendikspor
30
59
10.5%
Istanbulspor AS
30
58
5.5%
Erzurumspor
33
56
8.5%
Boluspor
31
56
8.5%
Gençlerbirliği SK
11º
30
55
10º
8%
Umraniyespor
13º
26
54
11º
7.5%
Sakaryaspor
16º
26
54
12º
9.5%
Amedspor
10º
30
53
13º
11%
Erokspor
14º
26
51
14º
6.5%
Keciorengucu
12º
27
49
15º
10.5%
Manisa FK
15º
26
49
16º
10.5%
76 Iğdır
17º
25
48
17º
14%
Sanliurfaspor
18º
25
47
18º
27%
Adanaspor
19º
15
28
19º
98%
Yeni Malatyaspor
20º
0
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gençlerbirliği SK
Kocaelispor
Promotion
2.5% 56.5%
Promotion play-offs
24% 38.5%
Mid-table
69% 5%
Relegation
4.5% 0%

ELO progression

Gençlerbirliği SK
Kocaelispor
Pendikspor
76 Iğdır
Erzurumspor
Boluspor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gençlerbirliği SK
Gençlerbirliği SK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2025
GEN
Gençlerbirliği SK
3 - 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
YEN
81%
14%
5%
75 41 34 0
06 Jan. 2025
SAK
Sakaryaspor
0 - 0
Gençlerbirliği SK
GEN
50%
26%
25%
75 76 1 0
23 Dec. 2024
GEN
Gençlerbirliği SK
0 - 2
Adanaspor
ADA
72%
19%
9%
75 59 16 0
19 Dec. 2024
GEN
Gençlerbirliği SK
0 - 1
Kasımpaşa
KAS
21%
22%
57%
75 85 10 0
15 Dec. 2024
BAN
Bandirmaspor
2 - 2
Gençlerbirliği SK
GEN
54%
24%
21%
75 79 4 0

Matches

Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2025
KEC
Keciorengucu
0 - 1
Kocaelispor
KOC
42%
26%
32%
77 74 3 0
07 Jan. 2025
ANT
Antalyaspor
3 - 1
Kocaelispor
KOC
62%
21%
17%
77 84 7 0
03 Jan. 2025
KOC
Kocaelispor
3 - 0
76 Iğdır
IGD
52%
25%
23%
77 75 2 0
22 Dec. 2024
BOL
Boluspor
1 - 3
Kocaelispor
KOC
42%
27%
31%
76 76 0 +1
18 Dec. 2024
CSP
Corluspor
2 - 3
Kocaelispor
KOC
10%
19%
71%
76 48 28 0