Gela vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
GEL
73%
19%
8%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GEL
2 - 1
CAV
18%
28%
54%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
TAR
2 - 1
GEL
65%
24%
11%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GEL
2 - 1
ASA
19%
27%
54%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +3 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BEN
2 - 1
GEL
78%
16%
6%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ASL
0 - 1
NUO
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 1
ASL
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ASL
4 - 0
TER
38%
28%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
USF
2 - 3
ASL
64%
23%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ASL
2 - 0
SSB
73%
17%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |