Gefle vs Osters IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
14º
54
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HUD
0 - 1
GEF
14%
19%
68%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
4 - 1
GEF
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GEF
0 - 4
VAR
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 0
GEF
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
GEF
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Osters IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
GBK
1 - 3
OIF
5%
13%
83%
|
75 | 12 | 63 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OIF
1 - 0
ORG
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OST
0 - 0
OIF
27%
26%
48%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OIF
0 - 2
IKB
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
HEL
3 - 2
OIF
20%
26%
54%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |