Oberliga Bremen round 22

Geestemünde vs VfL Bremen analysis

Geestemünde VfL Bremen
16 ELO 12
6.9% Tilt 11.6%
7437º General ELO ranking 11315º
286º Country ELO ranking 572º
ELO win probability
69.5%
Geestemünde
15.9%
Draw
14.6%
VfL Bremen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
Geestemünde
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.6%
Win probability
VfL Bremen
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Geestemünde
+38%
-24%
VfL Bremen

ELO progression

Geestemünde
VfL Bremen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Geestemünde
Geestemünde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2018
HAB
Habenhauser FV
2 - 3
Geestemünde
GEE
52%
20%
28%
15 15 0 0
25 Feb. 2018
GEE
Geestemünde
0 - 1
OSC Bremerhaven
OSC
47%
19%
34%
16 15 1 -1
09 Dec. 2017
BTN
BTS Neustadt
1 - 2
Geestemünde
GEE
60%
19%
21%
15 18 3 +1
03 Dec. 2017
GEE
Geestemünde
1 - 1
Brinkumer SV
BRI
6%
11%
83%
14 32 18 +1
25 Nov. 2017
BLU
Blumenthaler SV
3 - 1
Geestemünde
GEE
93%
5%
2%
14 37 23 0

Matches

VfL Bremen
VfL Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2018
SGA
SG Aumund-Vegesack
6 - 1
VfL Bremen
VFL
82%
11%
7%
13 20 7 0
20 Feb. 2018
VFL
VfL Bremen
0 - 1
Bremer SV
BRE
4%
9%
88%
13 43 30 0
03 Dec. 2017
LEH
Leher TS Bremerhaven
5 - 3
VfL Bremen
VFL
78%
14%
8%
14 22 8 -1
25 Nov. 2017
VFL
VfL Bremen
0 - 2
Oberneuland
OBE
9%
13%
78%
15 31 16 -1
19 Nov. 2017
SCH
Schwachhausen
2 - 2
VfL Bremen
VFL
84%
11%
6%
14 23 9 +1