FC Orenburg vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
GAZ
0 - 1
TOB
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
GAZ
0 - 0
TEK
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
GAZ
1 - 2
SAB
37%
25%
39%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
GAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
GAZ
2 - 1
KRA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
FAK
1 - 1
DNM
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
VOL
0 - 0
FAK
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
FAK
4 - 0
KAI
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
IRT
1 - 2
FAK
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FAK
5 - 0
CHE
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |