Gaziantep vs Rizespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
5º
16º
16º
16
5º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 73 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 71 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 57 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 54 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 51 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 51 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 51 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 49 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 49 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 49 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 47 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 44 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 43 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 42 |
16º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 42 |
17º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 34 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 30 |
19º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaziantep
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GFK
3 - 0
IST
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HAT
3 - 1
GFK
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
GFK
2 - 1
GOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GFK
3 - 1
KON
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KAY
2 - 2
GFK
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rizespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
EYU
1 - 2
RIZ
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RIZ
3 - 1
TRA
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SIV
2 - 1
RIZ
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
BOD
0 - 1
RIZ
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RIZ
2 - 1
ANT
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |