Gavilanes FC vs Aguacateros de Peribán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+168%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
4º
26
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
3 - 4
GAV
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 2
GAV
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GAV
0 - 2
IRA
20%
24%
55%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
GAV
13%
22%
65%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
4 - 1
COR
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Aguacateros de Peribán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ADP
6 - 2
LUL
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 1
ADP
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ADP
2 - 0
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
COR
1 - 4
ADP
54%
22%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADP
2 - 2
AGU
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |