Gateshead vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
GAT
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
GAT
2 - 2
YOR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
YOR
0 - 3
GAT
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
GAT
5 - 1
GLO
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 0
GAT
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 5
OLD
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
NOT
15%
19%
66%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
OLD
76%
17%
8%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
OLD
0 - 0
PET
41%
23%
37%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
OLD
3 - 2
GUL
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |