Gateshead vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
WIT
4 - 1
GAT
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
GAT
2 - 2
BRI
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
GAT
1 - 1
WOR
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
GAT
2 - 3
LIN
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
BIS
4 - 3
GAT
22%
23%
56%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 1
BIS
67%
18%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
WOR
3 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 2
LIN
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
WIT
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 3
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |