NCAA Division I Big South round 1

Gardner–Webb vs High Point analysis

Gardner–Webb High Point
16 ELO 36
0.4% Tilt 0%
47602º General ELO ranking 47604º
772º Country ELO ranking 774º
ELO win probability
10.2%
Gardner–Webb
15.5%
Draw
74.3%
High Point

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
Gardner–Webb
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
74.3%
Win probability
High Point
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gardner–Webb
-28%
+15%
High Point

ELO progression

Gardner–Webb
High Point
Next opponents in ELO points