Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
13º
4º
45
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 71 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 69 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 62 |
5º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 58 |
6º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 50 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
|
12º
|
45 | 49 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 49 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
44% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 44 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 43 |
17º
|
58.5% | |
|
18º
|
35 | 39 |
18º
|
57% | |
|
19º
|
34 | 37 |
19º
|
65.5% | |
|
20º
|
29 | 32 |
20º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
TOK
0 - 0
GAM
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NAG
0 - 1
GAM
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 0
CER
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 0
GAM
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 2
KAA
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kawasaki Frontale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
SAG
5 - 2
KAW
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KAW
3 - 0
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 1
KAW
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
KAW
3 - 1
URA
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
KAW
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |