J1 League round 15

Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale analysis

Gamba Osaka Kawasaki Frontale
75 ELO 81
-2.2% Tilt -7%
462º General ELO ranking 289º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.9%
Gamba Osaka
24.6%
Draw
49.4%
Kawasaki Frontale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
Gamba Osaka
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.4%
Win probability
Kawasaki Frontale
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gamba Osaka
+12%
-3%
Kawasaki Frontale

Points and table prediction

Gamba Osaka
Their league position
Kawasaki Frontale
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
13º
52
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vissel Kobe
72
72
100%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68
68
100%
Machida Zelvia
66
66
0%
Gamba Osaka
66
66
0%
Kashima Antlers
65
65
100%
Tokyo Verdy
56
56
100%
FC Tokyo
54
54
100%
Kawasaki Frontale
52
52
100%
Yokohama F. Marinos
52
52
0%
Cerezo Osaka
10º
52
52
10º
0%
Avispa Fukuoka
12º
50
50
11º
100%
Nagoya Grampus
11º
50
50
12º
100%
Urawa Reds
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Kyoto Sanga
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Shonan Bellmare
15º
45
45
15º
100%
Albirex Niigata
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Kashiwa Reysol
17º
41
41
17º
100%
Júbilo Iwata
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Consadole Sapporo
19º
37
37
19º
100%
Sagan Tosu
20º
35
35
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gamba Osaka
Kawasaki Frontale
Champion
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite
100% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gamba Osaka
Kawasaki Frontale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2024
TOK
Tokyo Verdy
0 - 0
Gamba Osaka
GAM
40%
27%
33%
75 73 2 0
11 May. 2024
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 1
Gamba Osaka
GAM
49%
27%
24%
75 80 5 0
06 May. 2024
GAM
Gamba Osaka
1 - 0
Cerezo Osaka
CER
34%
28%
38%
74 81 7 +1
03 May. 2024
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 0
Gamba Osaka
GAM
51%
26%
23%
75 81 6 -1
28 Apr. 2024
GAM
Gamba Osaka
1 - 2
Kashima Antlers
KAA
32%
27%
41%
75 82 7 0

Matches

Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2024
SAG
Sagan Tosu
5 - 2
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
25%
25%
50%
82 74 8 0
11 May. 2024
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
3 - 0
Consadole Sapporo
CON
59%
21%
20%
82 77 5 0
06 May. 2024
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 1
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
34%
26%
41%
82 81 1 0
03 May. 2024
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
3 - 1
Urawa Reds
URA
54%
23%
23%
82 82 0 0
28 Apr. 2024
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 - 2
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
41%
25%
34%
82 82 0 0