Gama vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 3
GAM
18%
23%
60%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 0
GAM
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
GAM
3 - 1
LUZ
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CEI
2 - 1
GAM
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 1
CEI
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
APA
3 - 1
NME
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
APA
0 - 1
VIL
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
APA
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
APA
2 - 1
JAT
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JAT
0 - 3
APA
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |