Gallipoli vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 2
GAL
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
GAL
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
TER
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 0
GAL
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAV
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
USF
2 - 0
TAR
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 0
TAR
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 1
PIS
54%
27%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 0
TAR
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |