Wales U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 2
POL
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
ENG
2 - 0
WAL
80%
14%
7%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 1
WAL
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 1
SYM
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 0
FIN
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
POL
61%
21%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
GER
2 - 0
AUT
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 2
GER
8%
16%
77%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
GER
5 - 3
SYM
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
GER
2 - 0
LTU
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |