Galatasaray SK vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
2º
1º
26
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 76 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 70 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 57 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 55 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 53 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 49 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 49 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 47 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 47 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 46 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 45 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 44 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 40 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 40 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 34 |
18º
|
33.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 28 |
19º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
75.5% | 1% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
20% | 5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 13% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GAL
4 - 3
ELF
65%
19%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 3
GAL
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
ALA
53%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 2
GAL
32%
23%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
3 - 3
KAS
57%
22%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
LYO
0 - 1
BJK
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BJK
2 - 0
KON
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GFK
1 - 1
BJK
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BJK
1 - 3
EIN
22%
21%
57%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
KAY
0 - 3
BJK
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |