Gagra vs Meshakhte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
SAP
1 - 0
GAG
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 1
BOR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
BET
3 - 1
GAG
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
DIN
0 - 3
GAG
43%
24%
34%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 2
SKU
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Meshakhte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
MES
2 - 2
SKU
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 0
MES
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
MES
1 - 2
KOL
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
MER
3 - 2
MES
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
MES
3 - 0
DIN
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |