Gaflenz vs Wacker Innsbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
79.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
MIS
2 - 0
GAF
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
LAN
2 - 1
GAF
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
GAF
3 - 2
STP
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ZWE
2 - 1
GAF
62%
20%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
SVS
4 - 0
GAF
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wacker Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 0
RIE
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AUS
0 - 3
WIN
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 0
LAS
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
VOC
0 - 3
WIN
9%
15%
76%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
MAT
0 - 2
WIN
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |