Gaflenz vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
WAI
3 - 1
GAF
61%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 3
SVH
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
KOT
2 - 0
GAF
78%
15%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 3
SCR
23%
23%
55%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LEO
7 - 2
GAF
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 4
ZWE
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ROH
2 - 0
ARD
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 4
SVS
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
STP
1 - 2
ARD
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 0
WUR
42%
24%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |