Gaddafi vs Uganda Revenue Authority analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
EXP
3 - 0
GAD
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
GAD
2 - 1
BUL
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 0
GAD
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
GAD
0 - 1
WAK
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 0
GAD
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
URA
0 - 0
SCV
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
KCC
3 - 2
URA
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
URA
3 - 0
MCF
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
JIN
2 - 2
URA
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
URA
4 - 1
AHS
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |