Gaddafi vs Express SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
BUL
1 - 0
GAD
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
GAD
3 - 1
MFC
24%
23%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +4 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
WAK
3 - 0
GAD
66%
18%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
GAD
0 - 1
SCV
31%
26%
43%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
UPD
1 - 1
GAD
47%
24%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
EXP
1 - 2
NEC
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
VIP
1 - 0
EXP
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EXP
1 - 2
JIN
56%
23%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
EXP
1 - 2
KIT
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BUL
2 - 0
EXP
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |