Lauda vs Bonlanden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BAH
0 - 0
FVL
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
FVL
0 - 1
STU
41%
28%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
HOF
1 - 1
FVL
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
FVL
0 - 0
REU
18%
25%
57%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
FVL
1 - 0
NOT
28%
25%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
BON
0 - 0
STU
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
REU
4 - 1
BON
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
BON
0 - 4
NOT
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
ULM
2 - 0
BON
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LUD
4 - 1
BON
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |