Bad Vilbel vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
FVB
5 - 0
VIK
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
BAU
2 - 3
FVB
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
FVB
1 - 4
FUL
34%
26%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
BRA
0 - 2
FVB
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
FVB
1 - 0
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAU
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
FUL
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 2
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ERZ
4 - 2
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 2
HUN
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |