Bad Vilbel vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 1
FVB
55%
25%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
FVB
1 - 1
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FVB
0 - 1
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
ESC
0 - 0
FVB
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
FVB
2 - 3
SWM
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
HES
2 - 2
ESC
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
SWM
2 - 1
HES
9%
15%
76%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HES
0 - 2
GOR
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 3
HES
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
HES
0 - 3
FSV
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |