Pas de la Casa vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
46.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
10º
7º
44
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pas de la Casa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAC
35%
23%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
PAC
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UES
0 - 0
PAC
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 2
CAR
59%
20%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
FCO
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
UES
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
INT
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |