Primera A 1 Phase round 3

Fuerza Amarilla vs Mushuc Runa analysis

Fuerza Amarilla Mushuc Runa
73 ELO 70
-9.1% Tilt 7.1%
25415º General ELO ranking 505º
36º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
50.4%
Fuerza Amarilla
27.1%
Draw
22.5%
Mushuc Runa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
Fuerza Amarilla
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
22.5%
Win probability
Mushuc Runa
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Fuerza Amarilla
Mushuc Runa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fuerza Amarilla
Fuerza Amarilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2016
UCE
Universidad Católica
1 - 0
Fuerza Amarilla
FAM
64%
19%
17%
73 77 4 0
07 Feb. 2016
FAM
Fuerza Amarilla
2 - 1
Aucas
AUC
43%
30%
28%
71 74 3 +2
28 Nov. 2015
MAC
Macará
2 - 3
Fuerza Amarilla
FAM
35%
29%
36%
71 64 7 0
21 Nov. 2015
FAM
Fuerza Amarilla
4 - 1
CD Olmedo
OLM
48%
28%
24%
70 68 2 +1
14 Nov. 2015
MAN
Manta
0 - 0
Fuerza Amarilla
FAM
48%
27%
26%
70 69 1 0

Matches

Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2016
MUS
Mushuc Runa
0 - 3
CS Emelec
EME
29%
28%
43%
71 80 9 0
06 Feb. 2016
RIV
Guayaquil City
3 - 1
Mushuc Runa
MUS
54%
24%
22%
70 72 2 +1
12 Dec. 2015
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
1 - 1
Mushuc Runa
MUS
43%
28%
29%
70 70 0 0
06 Dec. 2015
MUS
Mushuc Runa
1 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
33%
28%
39%
70 78 8 0
02 Dec. 2015
MUS
Mushuc Runa
1 - 2
CD El Nacional
NAC
47%
26%
27%
70 71 1 0