Frosinone vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
8º
20º
10º
17
5º
20º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 81 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 71 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 67 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 60 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 56 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 54 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 53 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 53 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
20º
|
10 | 52 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 51 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 49 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 48 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 46 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 43 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 41 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
19º
|
12 | 39 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 36 |
19º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 35 |
20º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 60% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 34% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 0
FRO
43%
25%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
FRO
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
0 - 0
PIS
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
REG
2 - 0
FRO
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
0 - 1
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
CTT
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
PAL
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
REG
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
SAL
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |