Frohnleiten vs Hartberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
16º
16º
27
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frohnleiten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 0
FRO
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 4
KIN
52%
21%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 1
FRO
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FRO
0 - 2
ALL
7%
13%
79%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ILZ
7 - 2
FRO
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 0
TSH
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TSH
3 - 1
TUS
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TSH
0 - 3
UGA
44%
21%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FEH
0 - 0
TSH
44%
22%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 0
LEB
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |