Fremad Amager vs Nykøbing FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
3º
1º
8
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 43 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 42 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 41 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 32 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 32 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 29 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 29 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 28 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fremad Amager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AKA
2 - 0
BFR
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
BFR
0 - 1
IIF
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MID
1 - 1
BFR
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BFR
2 - 0
FCH
48%
24%
27%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 0
NAE
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 0
FCH
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 1
LFA
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 2
THI
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 2
LFA
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 2
AAF
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |