Frem 1886 vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
7º
4º
8
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 43 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 42 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 35 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 30 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 29 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 29 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 28 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 27 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 20 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 12 |
12º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BRØ
0 - 3
FRE
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 1
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 3
FCH
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
NAE
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 1
LYN
21%
21%
57%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
THI
1 - 3
BFR
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 2
AAF
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 0
THI
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
THI
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 1
NAE
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |