Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
6º
48
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CRF
1 - 0
FRE
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 1
MGG
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
FRE
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 0
OLY
61%
22%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
LPV
0 - 2
FRE
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
THO
2 - 3
GRA
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CRF
1 - 3
THO
61%
23%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
THO
0 - 1
HYE
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MGG
1 - 0
THO
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
THO
4 - 2
ANN
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |