A-Junioren Bundesliga Süd/Südwest round 10

Freiburg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis

Freiburg U19 Mainz 05 U19
19 ELO 21
6.3% Tilt 0.3%
11039º General ELO ranking 8778º
530º Country ELO ranking 369º
ELO win probability
32.4%
Freiburg U19
23.6%
Draw
44.1%
Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
Freiburg U19
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.1%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiburg U19
-14%
-9%
Mainz 05 U19

ELO progression

Freiburg U19
Mainz 05 U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiburg U19
Freiburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2015
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
1 - 1
Freiburg U19
FRE
57%
21%
22%
18 19 1 0
04 Oct. 2015
FRE
Freiburg U19
1 - 1
Nürnberg U19
NUR
47%
23%
30%
18 19 1 0
27 Sep. 2015
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
3 - 0
Freiburg U19
FRE
60%
20%
19%
19 20 1 -1
20 Sep. 2015
FRE
Freiburg U19
1 - 4
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
FRA
57%
21%
22%
20 18 2 -1
13 Sep. 2015
BYM
Bayern München U19
1 - 1
Freiburg U19
FRE
65%
19%
17%
20 23 3 0

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2015
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 2
1860 München U19
MUN
49%
23%
29%
24 24 0 0
04 Oct. 2015
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
6 - 0
Darmstadt 98 U19
DAR
90%
7%
3%
23 7 16 +1
27 Sep. 2015
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
3 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
30%
23%
47%
25 18 7 -2
20 Sep. 2015
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 1
Nürnberg U19
NUR
57%
21%
22%
24 22 2 +1
13 Sep. 2015
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
1 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
41%
23%
36%
25 21 4 -1