Freiberg vs Waldhof Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FRE
3 - 2
FRE
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 2
BON
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
STU
2 - 2
FRE
64%
21%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 1
REU
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 0
FRE
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Waldhof Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
WAL
1 - 0
CRA
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
WAL
2 - 0
FVL
75%
17%
9%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 0
WAL
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 1
BON
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
STU
3 - 0
WAL
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | -1 |