Freiberg vs Reutlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 0
FRE
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 1
ULM
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
FRE
1 - 2
LUD
36%
24%
41%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
WEI
2 - 1
FRE
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 0
KSC
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Reutlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
REU
0 - 0
CRA
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
WAL
3 - 1
REU
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
REU
1 - 0
FRE
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
BON
6 - 2
REU
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
REU
1 - 1
STU
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | -1 |