Freiberg vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BAH
2 - 0
FRE
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 1
AST
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
ASV
2 - 3
FRE
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FRE
4 - 2
VFR
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
LIN
4 - 7
FRE
24%
25%
52%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ILL
3 - 0
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SGS
2 - 0
ILL
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
ILL
4 - 0
KIR
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
KEH
3 - 1
ILL
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | -3 |