Free State Stars vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
44%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 3
PIR
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 1
SSU
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
SUN
3 - 1
FRE
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 1
FRE
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 1
GOL
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
BID
2 - 0
CHI
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
BID
36%
30%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
BID
2 - 2
GOL
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 1
BID
28%
29%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
BID
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |