Free State Stars vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 1
FRE
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 1
FRE
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 2
SSU
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
PLS
2 - 1
FRE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
BID
3 - 0
SWA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
SWA
3 - 2
POL
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 2
SUN
38%
27%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 1
AMA
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |