Free State Stars vs Chippa United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
PLS
1 - 2
FRE
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 0
AMA
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 1
FRE
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
SEA
1 - 2
FRE
11%
16%
73%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chippa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
MPU
2 - 0
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 4
PIR
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PHI
0 - 2
CHI
6%
13%
82%
|
67 | 9 | 58 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 3
PLS
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |