Free State Stars vs Cape Umoya United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 0
TSG
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
UTH
0 - 3
FRE
32%
30%
39%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RIB
2 - 0
FRE
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 1
TSS
67%
22%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MBO
1 - 0
FRE
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Umoya United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
CPU
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
CPU
2 - 1
STE
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
JDR
2 - 0
CPU
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CPU
0 - 1
PRE
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
RIB
1 - 1
CPU
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |