Fredericia vs Vendsyssel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
3º
2º
20
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 38 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
4º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 28 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 28 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 26 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 24 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 22 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
11º
|
73% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 11 |
12º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 3
FRE
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 2
FRE
42%
22%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
MAF
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VEJ
3 - 0
FRE
43%
23%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
HOB
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vendsyssel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 0
ROS
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SIF
1 - 4
VEN
70%
18%
13%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
ACH
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GAI
3 - 1
VEN
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AAB
4 - 1
VEN
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |