Fredericia vs Vendsyssel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
3º
3º
10
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 40 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 32 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 31 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 26 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 12 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
95.5% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 3
FRE
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 2
FRE
42%
22%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
MAF
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VEJ
3 - 0
FRE
43%
23%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
HOB
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vendsyssel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 0
ROS
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SIF
1 - 4
VEN
70%
18%
13%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
ACH
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GAI
3 - 1
VEN
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AAB
4 - 1
VEN
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |