Fredericia vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
3º
2º
27
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 44 |
2º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 39 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 35 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 34 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 30 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 28 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 26 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 21 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 14 |
12º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
B93
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
HIL
0 - 3
FRE
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 4
AAB
31%
23%
46%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
HOB
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
B19
0 - 4
FRE
3%
8%
89%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 0
HOB
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
B93
1 - 0
ACH
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 2
OBK
20%
24%
57%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 4
VFF
19%
21%
60%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HVI
3 - 3
ACH
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |